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Allegheny County's Older Old Population

Posted on Thursday, November 17, 2011 at 05:18 pm ET

The Census Bureau released a report today on the nation's population age 90 and older: 90+ in the United States: 2006-2008. Across the nation the number of elderly has tripled since 1980. The 2010 Decennial Census showed a total of 11,809 people in Allegheny County were age 90 or older.

UCSUR's past research has included a comprehensive report on the State of Aging and Health in Pittsburgh and Allegheny County. UCSUR also maintains a model of the Pittsburgh region that is used for economic and demographic forecasting. The Pittsburgh REMI model can be used to project specific demographic trends impacting the region.

Like the nation there has been and will continue to be an expansion of the nation's population age 90 and over. The REMI model shows that between 2010 and 2015 Allegheny County will experience an increase in this age group of just over 43%. The rate of increase will decline to between 8 and 9% over the period 2015-2020. Unlike the nation, the local projection is that the population age 90 and older will actually decline over the subsequent decade (2020-2030) before continuing to increase.

Below is the current REMI model estimated trend in the population age 90 and over for Allegheny County going back to 1990 and projected to 2020. UCSUR will be updating its REMI model forecast later this fall.

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